Weekend Update/March 15-16.
A slow start to the weekend, with low clouds and possible fog around Saturday AM, slowly thinning and giving way to Limited Sun for the afternoon. It won't be as mild as on Friday, but it won't be a bad afternoon at all, either. Later Saturday night, colder air will filter in, and it will get cold enough for a possible Lk Ontario response in the form of light lake effect snow shwrs on a northerly flow. For Sunday, we may still have a few lt snow shwrs around, mainly AM. If you're headed to the big Parade, dress for midwinter cold. It won't actually BE that cold, but 3 hours of exposure to a 12-22mph breeze (with some sun to help out) can be pretty wearing. Parade temps will be 32-35. Monday looks to be crisp and pleasant with abundant sun and temps edging back up to the upper 30s. We should reach the mid 40s on Tuesday, with a few lt shwrs possible, mainly later. Shwrs will increase Tuesday night. Wednesday will be Rainy & with temps reaching the upper 40s, we'll have to watch for possible ice jam problems developing. There may even be a bit of lightning. By Thursday, this storm system will pull off to the NE. There are preliminary signs we will see a changeover to Snow & Snow Shwrs by Thursday, along with Cold, Gusty winds. However, there is some model "dissension" on this scenario. It does look like below normal temps will be returning, however, regardless of snow--from Thursday into next weekend.




